India cracks down on cryptocurrencies

India didn’t make cryptocurrencies illegal last week. But it might as well have. India’s central bank instructed the nation’s banking system to stop processing transactions related to cryptocurrencies — effectively eliminating payments to and from cryptocurrency exchanges. Industry experts say about 5 million Indians own cryptocurrencies. (CNBC)

Be smart: Cutting off the money flow is the go to move for governments who want to end a behavior without criminalizing it. Both the United States and The Netherlands criminalized online gaming transactions without making online gambling illegal. Both countries eventually authorized and regulated online gaming itself.

Underwater assets: Most Indians entered the cryptocurrency market at its peak last year. So India’s decision to cut off the cash flow to cryptocurrencies comes at a terrible moment. Prices for digital currencies have been dropping all year long — and last week’s action by the Indian central bank depressed them even further. Additionally, Indian investors can no longer sell their assets — and have been given no assurances they’ll ever be able to either profit from or mitigate the financial damage.

Related, but not quite as important: It’s not an accident that Pakistan’s central bank announced cryptocurrencies were illegal at the same time India’s central bank announced it was banning banks from processing crypto-related transactions. Though the two nations are rivals, it makes sense for both of them to coordinate on this front. Otherwise, it would be too easy for a thriving black market to take hold.

For China, it’s all about control

In order for cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups to thrive, they need a favorable (or at least neutral) regulatory environment. That’s why we’re seeing innovation in Japan and struggles in the U.S. It’s also why we saw digital currency prices fall earlier this year after China cracked down on trading and South Korea adopted new KYC measures. But as we’re starting to discover, China isn’t opposed to all cryptocurrencies. China only opposes the ones it can’t control.

What’s new: The head of the People’s Bank of China told reporters Friday that he envisions a time where digital currencies replace cash because they’re faster, cheaper and more convenient. And his (and the government’s) opposition to crytpocurrencies has nothing to do with utility, but rather because they’re used for “speculation and making people have the illusion that they can get rich overnight.” (Bloomberg Technology)

Then on Monday, the Chinese government announced it was setting up a committee to create technical standards for blockchain technology. (OpenGov Asia)

Why does this matter? Taken in tandem, these two announcements indicate that China recognizes the value of blockchain technology and isn’t anti-crypto. It’s just anti-speculation. China doesn’t view existing cryptocurrencies as payment methods. It sees them as speculative investments — almost like gambling. China has been cracking down on money moving from China to casinos in Macau over the past two years (and wrecking Macau’s economy in the process) and this falls in line with that movement.

Be smart: China was against the Internet until they could control it. Once China figured out how to control it, it embraced the Internet. Cryptocurrencies will follow the same path. China will oppose them until it learns how to control them. The cryptocurrencies and companies that understand this will find success in China. The rest will be spinning their wheels.

FinCEN letter disappointing, not shocking

There’s a reason why Japan gets to have nice (blockchain) things and the U.S. doesn’t. Japan is creating a regulatory environment conducive to blockchain innovation. The U.S. isn’t. The latest example of this is a letter written by Drew Maloney, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network’s (FinCEN) assistant secretary for legislative affairs, that says most companies making ICOs will be considered “money transmitters.”

This, of course, is a very specific legal definition that requires companies acting as money transmitters to comply with anti-money laundering regulations and other financial regulations — including those that apply to fighting the financing of terrorism. (American Bar Association)

Be smart: I was in Washington attending a presentation being made by a blockchain company when news of the FinCEN letter broke. The person handling legislative affairs for the company had just finished explaining how a grab bag of different federal regulatory agencies were taking wildly different approaches to regulating tokens, ICOs and cryptocurrencies — ranging from relative benign to chilling. And how that regulatory uncertainty — especially the more aggressive and unhelpful approaches being taken by the SEC and Department of Homeland Security — is driving good actors out of the U.S. blockchain and crypto market.

Then the news about the FinCEN letter broke and people threw up their hands. The fear is the U.S. has fallen behind the rest of the world because the federal government is creating an unfriendly environment for growth and innovation.

It’s a legitimate fear. At the dawn of the Internet era, the Clinton administration made a conscious and deliberate decision to take a hands off approach to regulating the Internet and e-commerce. As a result of that decision, the U.S. became the global leader in Internet innovation, building a massive industry that has changed the world.

Now, the U.S. is headed in the other direction with cryptocurrencies and the remaining good actors in the U.S. space are trying to figure out how to play by the constantly changing rules.

When you combine the new FinCEN reporting requirements with the SEC’s insistence on treating ICOs as securities that need to be regulated, you get a truly difficult business environment — one that makes doing business in the U.S. more expensive and complicated and one that potentially blocks U.S. residents from lucrative investment opportunities overseas (many ICO offerings are simply blocking U.S. residents from investing)

Additionally, the government’s “rule by letter” shows just how off the radar cryptocurrencies and ICOs are on the federal policy level. FINCEN’s approach to ICO offerings was revealed in a letter from FinCEN to a Democratic senator on the Senate Finance Committee.

While it’s not unusual for significant regulations or policies to be made by sidestepping the usual rule making process (online gambling, for example, was authorized at the state level when the Department of Justice offered a new interpretation of the Wire Act), it’s disappointing that decisions dictating the future of the industry aren’t following a more rigorous decision making process or being decided by legislators in an open manner.

Get engaged: The bottom line is the Uber approach to doing business — ask for permission when you’ve grown so large it’s not in the public interest to shut you down — won’t work here. The industry needs to reach out and educate regulators and politicians at the state and federal level. If that outreach doesn’t happen, there’s going to be another “FinCEN letter incident” and it’s going to be a long, hard slog for the industry.

Ripple making a splash in Japan

Ripple, in conjuction with a consortium of 61 Japanese banks, will debut an app this fall in Japan that settles payments instantly. SBI Net Sumishin Bank, Suruga Bank and Resona Bank will test the new app first. If the test is successful, the app will be rolled out to the rest of the banks in the consortium. (CNBC)

Money Tap is the name of the new app.

Ripple said that the app would make it easier for banks to settle round-the-clock domestic payments in Japan. Consumers will require a bank account, phone number or a QR barcode to use the app, Ripple said. (CNBC)

Be smart: There’s a reason this launch is happening in Japan. Japan is adopting one of the most progressive approaches to blockchain technology and fintech. Japan is counting on fintech to be a major driver of its economy in the future and provides regulatory friendly environment to launch blockchain solutions.

 

Bitcoin freefall continues

Bitcoin traded for below $8,000 Friday. It’s the first time bitcoin has traded for below $8,000 since November of last year. (CNBC) Bitcoin has lost more than $72 billion in market cap in 2018 (Business Insider via Yahoo).

Bitcoin isn’t the only cryptocurrency having a bad 2018.

Overall, cryptocurrencies are off 34% year-to-date. The entire cryptocurrency field has lost $207.7 billion in market cap, according to data from CoinMarketCap. (Fortune)

What’s going on? There are a variety of factor’s driving the bitcoin freefall and cryptocurrency selloff. Part of it is a market correction. Part of it is a response to regulatory concerns. India appears ready to ban cryptocurrencies as a payment mechanism. (Reuters). Meanwhile, Facebook is cracking down on coin promotions and the SEC and other regulatory agencies are in the midst of investigations.

Be smart: As the blockchain and cryptocurrency markets mature, there’s going to be more regulatory action and news. This is the nature of an emerging industry. On Tuesday, for example, there’s a Senate hearing on what the oversight role for the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission should have on “virtual currency.” At some point, the market won’t show the same volatility to regulatory intervention that it does now. But nobody knows when that moment will arrive.

Facebook bans bitcoin, ICO ads

Sorry folks. You can’t advertise your bitcoin promotions or ICOs on Facebook anymore. The popular social network has banned these ads because too many of them are misleading or deceptive. The Facebook ban began earlier this week. And any ad banned from Facebook will also be banned from Facebook’s advertising network. (Recode)

This is why we can’t have nice things:

We want people to continue to discover and learn about new products and services through Facebook ads without fear of scams or deception. That said, there are many companies who are advertising binary options, ICOs and cryptocurrencies that are not currently operating in good faith.

This policy is intentionally broad while we work to better detect deceptive and misleading advertising practices, and enforcement will begin to ramp up across our platforms including Facebook, Audience Network and Instagram. We will revisit this policy and how we enforce it as our signals improve. (Facebook announcement)

But there’s hope: Facebook knows there are legitimate offerings out there. The company has deliberately cast a wide net while it figures out how to refine what it’s looking for in terms of banning ads. So at some point in the future, bitcoin promotions and ICO ads will be welcome again. We just don’t know how long that’s going to take.

Bitcoin, cryptocurrency prices tumble again

A market selloff sent prices for bitcoin, ethereum and other cryptocurrencies tumbling Tuesday. Bitcoin was down 12 perecent and trading below $10,000 Tuesday afternoon, according to CoinDesk. Ethereum was down 9 percent while ripple fell 10 percent, according to CoinMarketCap. (CNBC)

Be smart: No one exactly knows what sparked the massive selloff. One possibility is South Korea implementing strict KYC rules for trading cryptocurrencies. (CNBC) Another is the SEC freezing the assets of AriseBank and halting its massive ($600 million so far) ICO. (CNBC) A third regulatory action saw the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission send subpoenas to cryptocurrency exchanges Bitfinex and Tether. The subpoenas were issued in December, but reported publicly for the first time today. (Bloomberg Technology) It’s also entirely possible that this trifecta of bad news had nothing to do with the selloff. Nobody knows for sure.

What’s next: Volatility is the norm in cryptocurrency markets. So this wild ride will continue. Just remember the regulators are not going away either. The size and volatility of these markets have caught their attention. And there are going to be more regulatory actions in the future.

Commerce Department hops on blockchain train

In a move that slipped a bit below the radar last week, the U.S. Commerce Department issued its first blockchain guidance report. The report, written by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), attempts to explain blockchain technology to the business set and help executives make “clear-eyed” decisions about investing in it. (NIST)

Why this is important: Guidance reports from the NIST signal both mainstream acceptance and act as a permission slip for many organizations to consider blockchain as a solution. It also shows that the U.S. government is thinking about how to use blockchain technology and not just blockchain policy. That’s a good sign for the long-term health of the industry.

Fun with government names: In the great tradition of dry government nomenclature, the blockchain guidance report, which is just a draft for now, is titled:  Draft NIST Interagency Report (NISTIR) 8202: Blockchain Technology Overview.

Japanese regulators looking into Coincheck

Losing $530 million in a newly regulated business is the fastest way to get the government looking into your affairs. So it’s no surprise that Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) has decided to investigate Coincheck after hackers stole $530 million from the cryptocurrency exchange last week. Coincheck already has announced it will return 90 percent of the money. But the company has provided no timetable. (CNBC)

The key facts

The FSA said it ordered Coincheck to submit a report on the hack and measures for preventing a recurrence by Feb. 13, and that it will, if necessary, conduct on-site inspections of other cryptocurrency exchanges. The regulator also said it has yet to confirm whether Coincheck had sufficient funds for the reimbursement. (CNBC)

The smart take: Japan began regulating cryptocurrency exchanges last year and believes fintech will be a boon to the nation’s economy. How the government and Coincheck handle this crisis is a major test for both the industry and regulators. Neither can afford a misstep.

If the company doesn’t handle the crisis well, it invites more regulatory oversight and intervention into exchanges. If the FSA responds with a heavy hand, it could choke the industry. If the FSA responds too leniently, it could undermine public confidence.

Most regulated industries suffer through growing pains — especially as regulators and entrepreneurs work together to find the right balance between regulation and innovation. This situation is no different.